When will RAM prices go down?
The short answer is that no one can name a date, and this page will not invent one. What we can do is show what the observed data says about where RAM prices have been, and which figures are actually comparable.
What the observed data shows
On a like-for-like basis — the same 16 GB kit, measured in AUD per GB — DDR4 was $13.69 per GB in 2026, a +69.8% change from 2021 ($8.06 per GB, 39 observations).
DDR5 is too new for a five-year comparison, but the exact three-year view is available: the 32 GB kit moved from $8.09 per GB in 2023 (25 observations) to $21.84 per GB in 2026 (34 observations), a +169.9% change.
In other words, the most recent observed year shows RAM prices per GB well above where they sat a few years ago. That is a measured statement about the past, not a prediction about the future.
Raw medians are not the same as like-for-like
A raw median mixes every kit size and speed, so it can move for reasons that have nothing to do with the price of memory. DDR4's raw annual median moved from $89.00 in 2025 (59 observations) to $272.48 in 2026 (54 observations); DDR5's moved from $199.00 to $699.00. Those jumps mix changes in what was on sale with changes in price. The like-for-like figures above, which hold capacity fixed, are the fairer read — and they still point the same direction.
What typically drives RAM prices
This next part is general context about how the DRAM market usually works, clearly labelled as such — it is not a reading of any single cause visible in our dataset. DRAM is a cyclical commodity. In general, prices tend to rise when demand outpaces supply, when manufacturers shift wafer capacity toward other products, or when inventory is drawn down; they tend to fall when new capacity comes online, when demand softens, or when inventories rebuild. Those cycles can take months or years, and they do not follow a schedule anyone can read off a chart.
Why no one can tell you a date
Historical prices tell us what has already happened. They do not tell us when a cycle will turn. A chart that is currently rising says nothing about next month by itself, and any site that names a specific date is guessing. Our own data ends at 2026-10-05, and we treat everything after that as unknown.
What you can do instead
Watch the same evidence we publish: the RAM price charts update with each dated observation, the capacity-normalised changes show whether a rise is real rather than a mix shift, and the value tables show today's cost per GB. When the newest observations start coming in lower, the charts will show it — and that is the honest signal to look for.